New Poll Shows Impact Of Healthcare Tax Credits On The North Carolina Senate Race

A new poll from Public Opinion Strategies reveals the potential impact of the healthcare tax credit debate currently before Congress. The tax credits are set to expire at the end of the year; if this remains unaddressed, over 24 million Americans, including nearly a million North Carolinians, could see substantial health insurance premium increases. 

The poll surveyed 600 likely voters in North Carolina from October 3-6 and has a margin of error of ±4.00%. Click here to read the full polling memo. 

Key toplines from the poll: 

• The generic ballot for the North Carolina Senate race is well within the margin of error. 44% of voters said they supported a Democrat, 40% said a Republican, and 16% are undecided.  

• The top two issues are the cost-of-living (22%) and healthcare (10%). 

• 70% of voters said they support extending the health insurance premium tax credit. 51% of Republicans supported it, while only 26% opposed. Additionally, 70% of independents said they support it, while only 18% oppose it. 

• 72% of voters indicated that they wanted Congress to extend the tax credit, including 51% of Trump voters. 

• When asked if voters would be more likely or less likely to vote for a candidate for U.S. Senate if they supported allowing the health care premium tax credit to expire, a majority (57%) said they would be less likely to vote for the candidate, including nearly half (45%) who would be MUCH less likely. 

  • Among all Voters– 17% More Likely & 57% Less Likely 

  • Among Republicans – 32% More Likely & 29% Less Likely 

  • Among Independents – 15% More Likely & 59% Less Likely

  • Among Democrats – 4% More Likely & 83% Less Likely 

  • Among Voters Undecided on the Generic Ballot – 14% More Likely & 45% Less Likely